Galaxy Digital Cuts CLARITY Act Passage Odds to 50% on Senate Time Crunch

Galaxy Digital's head of research cut the odds of the CLARITY Act passing in 2026 to 50-50, down from 60%, citing a tight Senate calendar and no public progress on the crypto market structure bill.

• Galaxy Digital lowered CLARITY Act passage odds from 60% to 50% for 2026
• The Senate faces a packed schedule with housing, FISA, and defense bills competing for floor time
• The bill cleared the Banking Committee 15-9 in May but merged text has not been published
• Senate is on recess until July 13, leaving only a narrow window for a vote
• Galaxy says a scheduling announcement in the next two weeks could push odds back to 60%

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